Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.363601 0.401989 0.443184 0.490759 0.544281 0.602742 0.671579
2025-04-27 0.304123 0.357800 0.419647 0.496519 0.589975 0.700498 0.841975
2025-05-04 0.269743 0.330696 0.404340 0.500559 0.623959 0.778258 0.987917
2025-05-11 0.243779 0.308843 0.390505 0.501608 0.650493 0.845486 1.124119
2025-05-18 0.225349 0.293660 0.382261 0.507134 0.681066 0.918450 1.273390
2025-05-25 0.204418 0.272755 0.363872 0.496196 0.686706 0.956141 1.375287
2025-06-01 0.192724 0.262988 0.359177 0.502943 0.716664 1.029625 1.535881
2025-06-08 0.179419 0.249694 0.348152 0.499107 0.730015 1.078883 1.663598
2025-06-15 0.170032 0.241105 0.342910 0.502867 0.754411 1.146228 1.826265
2025-06-22 0.158654 0.228692 0.330986 0.495230 0.759951 1.183715 1.942766
2025-06-29 0.149146 0.218344 0.321291 0.490028 0.768475 1.226108 2.071337
2025-07-06 0.136970 0.203137 0.303106 0.469834 0.750517 1.222294 2.116878
2025-07-13 0.131381 0.197870 0.300190 0.474424 0.774867 1.293756 2.309718
2025-07-20 0.126324 0.193113 0.297748 0.479580 0.800607 1.370130 2.521440
2025-07-27 0.121446 0.188288 0.294793 0.483484 0.824222 1.444535 2.738006
2025-08-03 0.116399 0.182850 0.290421 0.484491 0.842491 1.510433 2.945200
2025-08-10 0.112551 0.179132 0.288629 0.489802 0.868959 1.594206 3.200033
2025-08-17 0.106178 0.170808 0.278481 0.479290 0.864550 1.616892 3.325592
2025-08-24 0.103178 0.168030 0.277691 0.485774 0.893291 1.708522 3.616055
2025-08-31 0.098722 0.162486 0.271704 0.482087 0.901584 1.758748 3.817969
2025-09-07 0.095716 0.159296 0.269680 0.485701 0.924710 1.842176 4.109348
2025-09-14 0.091260 0.153305 0.262260 0.478362 0.924700 1.875614 4.283194
2025-09-21 0.087431 0.148244 0.256252 0.473362 0.929115 1.919095 4.488014